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Search Results 0 to 49 of about 268 (some duplicates have been removed)
the popular vote by one point and obama wins ohio and iowa by one point that is possible, maybe a one or two-point shift but there is almost no way to look at the history of this country or try to do the more complex things, the mathematical models unlikely to have romney win the popular and have him lose the electorial college. >> rose: the sites and sounds of hurricane sandy, mark halperin and nate silver when we continue. funding for charlie rose was provided by the following. additional funding provided by these funders. and by bloomberg, a provider of multimedia news and information services worldwide. captioning sponsored by rose communications from our studios in new york city, this is charlie rose. >> hurricane sandy barreled through the northeast last night, the devastating impact was wide-ranging, cities and towns were hammered by the storm that left many without power and other vital resources. here are some of the sights and sound of the storm as scene on cbs this morning. we knew this was going to be a very dangerous storm and the storm has met our expectations. >> it is underas
, obama is ahead in most polls of ohio he is ahead in most polls of iowa, wisconsin, and nevada as well and those four states. >> rose: by two or three points. >> two or three-point not an overwhelming margin but you can look historically and how often does a candidate who has a two or three-point lead in an election, does he how often does he convert that to a win and the answer is about 75 percent of the time. >> rose: so you said 75 percent likely obama will be elected? >> that's right because the states are what we call the tipping point states that would swing the electorial college margin he has a two or three-point lead, so it is not for sure but we can use statistics and data that just look up how often those lead translate into a win. > > rose: zero so is critical point here is that many people say paul, david brooks wrote a column. >> sure. >> as you know basically saying a poll is a paragraph of a moment in time. >> right. >> rose: period. >> uh-huh. >> rose: no prophecy from that. >> my understanding, what you say is, yes, no prophecy, but you can look and reference it to ot
. awesome. it might of course all come down to ohio. >> obama: thank you ohio! >> oh, my god! >> romney: my guess is that if ohio votes me in as president i'll be the next president of the united states. >> cenk: we have the latest numbers four and we have congressman from ohio on the show today. then we've got one more fun story for you. who do the odds makers think is going to win the whole race? we go to vegas to find out. >> a half hour late for my feeing. as it is, all air traffic in vegas being held up because of a v.i.p. customer in vegas, turns out the president is here for a fundraiser screwing up my day. i'm thinking about this romney guy. >> cenk: well, he might be alone. just wait until we show you the numbers. what my favorite story of the day is, all the pundits are mad at numbers because it shows president obama winning. they're mad at math! that's awesome! it's go time! [ ♪ theme ♪ ] >> obama: hello wisconsin! governor romney has been using all his talents as a salesman. >> romney: he has a campaign slogan as moving forward. >> is it wrong for one man to love another man
energy future, now. >>> obama's ohio fire wall. cnn is out with a new poll in the state tonight with the the president leading mitt romney 50-46 and that's unchange frd the last cnn poll in ohio taken just avenue the first debate. john king has been looking at the latest numbers. what else does it tell you? >> it's important to look at this poll. thest a small lead. that's yet another poll the president's kept that narrow lead in ohio. you mentioned the horse race. here's one of the biggest factors. in a battleground state like this, the president's getting the democrats, romney's getting a republicans, the candidate who wins among independents is likely to win. that is critical the watch in the last week to election day. there's also an age divide. it's important as well. you see a huge leap for the president. 56-38, among voters under 50. that's an important part of his constituency. republicans need the older voters by 2i-46. governor romney would like that to be bigger. there's also a racial and gender gap, if you will. i want to put it this way. the president is, if he is a
in florida, with senator marco rubio, paul ryan's bus tour is crisscrossing ohio. president obama visits new hampshire this afternoon. and vice president biden will attend a rally in lynchburg, virginia. let's get right to it. nbc's mike viqueira is joining us from the white house. good saturday morning to you. >> hi, alex. >> first before we get to this president's trip north. is tropical storm sandy affecting any of the white house plans? >> it certainly is. you've heard this phrase, we're familiar with it, an abundance of caution. that's what you're seeing from some of the campaigns today. vice president biden was set to appear in virginia beach right along the coastline with his wife dr. jill biden and son beau biden. that event has been canceled. meanwhile michelle obama, the first lady, was due in new hampshire on tuesday. out of again abundance of caution they have canceled, postponed that event. mitt romney was due in virginia beach where joe biden was supposed to be today. they postponed that event. they've altered their schedules. they're going to be appearing elsewhere. you mentio
, but -- >> then why a are polls all over the place? not every poll has obama winning in ohio. >> first if you look at the whole group of polls we have a two-point romney lead to a five or six-point obama lead, the average is going to do better a than any one poll individual think, polling is difficult now, because you can only get about ten percent of people on the money, polls are hoping that those people who they do get are representative of the ones whom they don't get, different views about who will turn out and who won't, about the, differ on the democrat grafnls and statistical uncertainty as well. >> depending on the model the poll uses will affect the result. >> a different hype these almost. >> .. if you assume a more vigorous turnout because obama has good ground game for example those have him winning, no more at that like opportunity thousand ten environment where republican enthusiasm prevail they have a very tight in ohio instead. >> rose: okay. but do you say when you look at all of these polls, i have noted you are a statistician, you noted in the polling you measure other polls? >
, swing states and ohio, romney colorado. give obama ohio and new hampshire. i think the point i want to make about this map is a broader one and it's a criticism and an expression of bafflement about the romney campaign strategy. if you look at that map, to win to get to 270, they have to win virginia, florida, north carolina. got to win colorado. putting that together, pick off ohio or some combination of wisconsin and plus new hampshire, iowa, nevada. a combination there and the polls out of ohio and wisconsin, not looking good for romney. to me the issue is this. there are states on the map that could have been competitive. oregon, michigan, minnesota, pennsylvania and even maybe where obama had big margins in 2008 like 15, 16-point margins but you have to go back to 2004 to see, you know, a three-point race in minnesota. a three-point race in michigan. these are states, there's a lot of flexibility in these states. if romney with all the money he had and republicans had, outside money, if they had targeted the states early with advertising and then with field work, too, i think i
. >>> finally the impact of hurricane sandy. president obama has canceled trips to virginia and ohio. how much has the hurricane hindered your efforts there? >> we have to see how it goes. of course, we're all hoping that the hurricane doesn't have huge consequences for people's safety. we have taken every precaution that we can. the president took down a couple of stops to stay at the white house to monitor the situation. he's given every resource to insure that people are safe. we have to see how this goes. we're all hoping for the best and for the people's safety. >> stephanie cutter, thank you very much. >>> let's turn to newt gingrich. thanks for coming in this morning. you heard stephanie cutter there. she believes their campaign is ahead in hope. your response? >> i think you put your finger on it with the des moines register, a newspaper that hasn't endorsed a republican in 40 years, now they were for obama four years ago, they switched. the fact is, the paper in florida did the same thing, pro-obama, it switched. in ohio, we clearly have gained ground. i think across the country, we h
they need to double down. because barack obama if he wins ohio, he could lose virginia and florida and still win. >> they have been doubling down. they spent all of this time in ohio and because of sandy spent more time in ohio. but if we look at early voting polling that is coming out of ohio and then florida, the president leads. is it the obama ground game that's really pushing them ahead? >> it's the obama ground game. ironically it's also the republican party. when i was in ohio and talked to voters there and called people in florida who were doing early vote there, a lot of what's motivating really record african-american early vote turnout in north carolina, in florida and in ohio is anger about the tone of the republican party on things like voting rights, on things like voter i.d., on what they see as voter suppression. so they're equal part defense of president obama and anger at the republican party. it's driving what looks to be potentially record early african-american vote which only helps the president. >> and lastly the president leading with overwhelming support when voters
the state that could decide this election. is president obama losing his lead in ohio or not? plus, the politics of demographics and race. >>> and we're tracking a super storm that could wallop the northeast. the forecast for this thing really is frankenstorm. it could influence voting in a few key states. chad myers with the latest. ♪ [ male announcer ] this is karen and jeremiah. they don't know it yet, but they're gonna fall in love, get married, have a couple of kids, [ children laughing ] move to the country, and live a long, happy life together where they almost never fight about money. [ dog barks ] because right after they get married, they'll find some retirement people who are paid on salary, not commission. they'll get straightforward guidance and be able to focus on other things, like each other, which isn't rocket science. it's just common sense. from td ameritrade. it's just common sense. see lioutdoors, or in.ight. transitions® lenses automatically filter just the right amount of light. so you see everything the way it's meant to be seen. maybe even a little bette
how to pull off a win in the key battleground state of ohio and break through president obama's so-called midwestern firewall. his campaign is ensure shurg allies there is still a clear path to skrivictory. peter, tell us about this memo. >> reporter: the romney campaign is facing serious questions about the electoral college math. people in ohio here generally think obama has a slight lead also in wisconsin and iowa and nevada. three of those four would give obama the presidency. so the romney campaign knows they're going to have to answer questions about this on the sunday shows tomorrow and on the final days of the race. they circulated a confidential memo to top republican leaders and surrogates. we got our hands on it. this is what they're saying. they're saying they're putting the obama campaign on defense. quote, mitt romney is up or tied with obama in every key battleground state forcing obama on defense in states he won by double digits in 2008 like wisconsin, iowa, michigan, minnesota, and pennsylvania. with the campaigns even on the ground and in early vote, gop enthusia
possible, but again, the key for president obama is going to be ohio. you have florida and virginia to romney. he's at 248, obama 243. colorado leaning toward romney. now give obama new hampshire where he is favored, wisconsin where he is favored. give him iowa, just 263. then we are looking on election night to that all-important state of ohio, obama at 281. if you gave that to romney, look at that, 275-263. that's why it is so key. what is the one state that could keep us up at night? let's look out west. we've been giving it to mitt romney colorado. watch what happens if we give romney florida, virginia, ohio. he's at 266. president obama, what does he need? new hampshire, wisconsin, iowa, all places he's favored and look at the one place that's keeping us up at night, western state, mountain time zone, late closing time, 266, 263, nine electoral votes there could swing it one way or the other. let's look at one last scenario where we could have ourselves a tie. president obama out west is favored in nevada. let's say we give it to mitt romney. it's only a three-point lead in our
a dead even race in ohio. five points for obama. when they last tested here a number of weeks ago. shows momentum on romney side. the question is does he have momentum to push him perhaps 270. >> bret: quick answer of impact of the storm, hurricane sandy and what it means for the race? >> could it mean -- i think it's freezing the race. it's hard for either romney or obama to break through with new, with some new initiative while everybody is focused on sandy. i don't think it affects the turnout. >> bret: karl? >> it could effect turn-out. people affected by this; particularly, people unable to cope with it might be less likely to turn out. let's see when the storm hits. when it passes. if people can put themselves back together. the other thing is it will push the campaigning further west. we will see more appearances in iowa, colorado, nevada, wisconsin, western ohio than we would have seen otherwise in fewer appearances and florida. fewer appearances in places like virginia and pennsylvania. eastern ohio. >> bret: last thing, quickly. we had an ipad app that people can put in their m
in the all-important state of ohio. president obama will be staying close to washington as he continues to monitor the developments of this storm. let's talk about ohio and why it is a particularly close race there. we asked likely voters who their choice was for president. barack obama has a 50% to 46% margin over mitt romney in this latest poll, which is why mitt romney and paul ryan are stu stumping there today after modifying their plans. they were going to be in virginia, but because of the storm now they're in ohio. as you see here, the two rally supporters just a short time ago in salina, ohio. they have both spent several days in the buckeye state and have more on their calendar. let's talk a little more about the direction of that state and the voting electrorate has your own new polling out this morning showing a dead heat there. obama and romney both pulling 49% of support out of likely voters. this is in line with that tightening national race according to a number of major polls. so why is, or is it your view, that ohio is kind of the microcosm of the country? >> ohio is, i
been canceled and even president obama isn't going to ohio tomorrow. he's going to let bill clinton, the former president campaign for him in youngstown, ohio instead. it looks like mitt romney is going to be hunkering down in ohio a state he needs to be better in. president obama is going to be stuck at the white house. and he went to florida tonight so he could be in place for a rally tomorrow. he may regret going there at all because he'll be coming back to the white house to monitor the storm, but it's going to be halting a lot of political activity going forward into wednesday. maybe even thursday, but right now the white house is looking at canceling even more events, potentially another event that the president was going to be having in wisconsin on tuesday night. so, it looks like we're coming to a stand still for a couple of days here. >> geraldo: so, you have both governor romney and president obama trying to balance the fact that the election is eight, nine days away, with the, first of all, the perception that they have to be paying attention, they have to be-- the pres
. >> and obama at 50, not at 47%. >> and obama is at 50% in ohio, willie. >> one other note inside that "new york times" poll, conventional wisdom is obama would struggle with white working-class voters in ohio anyway, not in virginia. but in ohio he's even with romney among white voters who do not have a college degree. that's very important. >> and by the way, i think he's up, what, 30% in florida? >> 30. >> he's up 30 points, willie, in florida among white voters. but in ohio, he's dead even. >> dead even. florida and virginia. >> and virginia. >> 30 points. >> think about how much of the negative bain advertising took place this summer you still see it in the numbers, doesn't care about people like me. romney's numbers are still upside down. people say governor romney doesn't care about people like them. that is still the result of a summer of pummeling in ohio by the obama campaign and the democratic super pacs which worked ohio harder, knowing that the state could be a firewall, knowing that they could hold the electoral map and take ahold of ohio. they hit him harder there than anywhe anyw
were all over the crucial state of ohio. president obama made three different stops today in that state. then out west to springfield, ohio. then he headed north to lima, ohio. mitt romney was not going to be outdone. here is a look at another romney campaign rock concert and victory rally outside cincinnati. romney was also in wisconsin this morning, portraying himself as the candidate of change? >> the question of this election comes down to this. do you want more of the same, or do you want real change? and we bring real change. >> do you want 32 more months of private sector job growth? romney sure has a funny way of showing change, doesn't he? take a look at romney's surrogates at tonight's ohio victory rally. former secretary of state condoleezza rice, former labor secretary elaine chao, bobby jindal, tom ridge and also ohio senator rob portman. all five of these folks worked with the bush administration. in fact, mitt romney's campaign is looking more and more like the bush white house every day. romney even pulled out the old dick cheney trick of scaring voters before an electio
important ohio is. president obama holding a four-point lead in this new poll, slightly outside the margin of error and significantly right at the crucial 50% mark. so the question is, what is driving the numbers in ohio right now? chief national correspondent john king has some answers. >> well, anderson, that narrow ohio lead for the president is within the poll's sampling error but it is yet another poll showing the president with a small persistent lead in the state of ohio. let's take a closer look at why it is happening in this state that is so important in the pick for president. here's the main reason right here. governor romney gets the republicans. the president gets the democrats but at the moment, in our survey, the president has a narrow lead among ohio voters who define themselves as independents. that is the battleground in a big battleground state, if you win the independents you are likely to win. governor romney close but the president with an important edge among independent voters. there's also an age divide, if you look at likely voters in ohio. among voters under the
clear politics" average of the most recent polling in the state of ohio shows president obama ahead in ohio by 2.3 points. these "real clear politics" averages are an imperfect measure. i want to give you a very rough idea of how basically how close it is right now. that's what it is in ohio. in virginia, that same polling average has mitt romney ahead by 0.5 points, and in north carolina, the polling average has mr. romney ahead by 3.8 points. so that's the 7:00 hour. and then in the 8:00 hour, polls will be closing in these 18 states. of these states, again, there will be three that we're going to be watching most closely. florida, pennsylvania, and new hampshire. the "real clear politics" polling average right now in florida has romney ahead. in pennsylvania the polling average says it is president obama who's ahead by 4.6 points. in new hampshire, again, president obama ahead with a 1.3 lead. that's the 8:00 hour. at 9:00, we'll have polls closed in all those places, and the blinking states here will be the ones that are closing. 14 states mostly in the midwest and the south. of
Search Results 0 to 49 of about 268 (some duplicates have been removed)

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